BOS
@
7:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.031
Wind
0 mph
dome
Payton Tolle
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 52 | 0.195 | 93.1 | 9.8% | 23.5% | 415 | 21.4% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.172 | 91.8 | 12.3% | 33.3% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.5% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.117 | 92.4 | 12.5% | 28.6% | 434 | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 93 | 0.185 | 88.9 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 389 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Davis Schneider | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 102 | 0.114 | 91.8 | 17.4% | 11.1% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.159 | 85.2 | 6.1% | 18.8% | 388 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 142 | 0.181 | 87.0 | 3.8% | 13.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 183 | 0.112 | 87.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 48 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.077 | 86.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 24 |