BOS
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.676
Temp
48.1°F
Wind
6.3 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Sonny Gray
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Wallner | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 29 | 0.262 | 90.2 | 11.7% | 19.6% | 413 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Byron Buxton | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.287 | 90.3 | 6.0% | 21.3% | · | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 84 | 0.153 | 84.8 | 8.0% | 12.0% | · | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 85 | 0.131 | 91.5 | 12.7% | 7.0% | · | 14.3% | 18.2% | 6.8% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Royce Lewis | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.152 | 90.5 | 10.7% | 9.6% | 378 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.143 | 86.0 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 367 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.084 | 85.0 | 8.0% | 4.1% | 379 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Brooks Lee | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 153 | 0.133 | 86.9 | 0.0% | 10.3% | · | 14.3% | 18.2% | 6.5% | 31 |