BOS
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.676
Temp
51.4°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Wallner | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.262 | 90.2 | 12.7% | 19.6% | 413 | 21.4% | 27.3% | 23.5% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Byron Buxton | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.287 | 90.3 | 6.5% | 21.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 42 | 0.153 | 84.8 | 8.7% | 12.0% | · | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Royce Lewis | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.152 | 90.5 | 11.6% | 9.6% | 378 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 52 | 0.131 | 91.5 | 13.7% | 7.0% | · | 7.7% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.143 | 86.0 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 367 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.084 | 85.0 | 8.7% | 4.1% | 379 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Brooks Lee | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.133 | 86.9 | 0.0% | 10.3% | · | 15.4% | 18.2% | 7.7% | 29 |