⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
AZ
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.899
Temp
72.5°F
Wind
4 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 44 ⚪ D +475 · 44 0.274 90.0 · 12.5% 408 14.3% 15.4% 14.6% 36
2 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 41 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 56 0.326 86.9 · 50.0% 395 12.0% 0.0% 19.3% 47
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 37 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 80 0.179 83.8 · 40.0% 401 14.3% 15.4% 19.8% 28
4 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.167 88.9 · 16.7% 403 13.3% 15.4% 15.7% 22
5 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 31 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 131 0.140 86.7 · 11.1% 382 4.0% 7.7% 7.6% 36
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 27 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 161 0.204 85.9 · 16.7% 351 4.2% 0.0% 11.8% 15
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 188 0.171 89.9 · 11.1% 408 4.0% 0.0% 8.8% 12
8 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 24 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 190 0.159 91.2 · 0.0% 411 4.2% 7.7% 6.7% 35
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 20 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 211 0.145 89.8 · 37.5% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 38 ⚪ D +370 🌤️ WARM 74 0.207 91.5 · 26.9% 394 17.1% 8.3% 12.2% 28
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 32 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 124 0.156 89.9 · 24.0% 399 11.1% 16.7% 12.7% 30
3 Josh Jung Josh Jung 31 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 134 0.228 90.5 · 20.0% 378 13.9% 8.3% 17.3% 43
4 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 30 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 138 0.170 91.7 · 16.7% 396 8.3% 0.0% 8.7% 27
5 Evan Carter Evan Carter 26 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 178 0.144 88.6 · 15.6% 371 18.2% 16.7% 9.8% 30
6 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 25 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 181 0.099 92.6 · 12.0% 388 4.8% 0.0% 6.2% 23
7 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 23 ⚪ D +500 · 197 0.134 88.0 · 25.0% 393 4.8% 8.3% 12.8% 16
8 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 20 ⚪ D · · 213 0.125 90.8 · 8.3% 365 3.1% 0.0% 7.3% 0
9 Josh Smith Josh Smith 7 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 250 0.024 87.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 9
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