AZ
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.899
Temp
72.5°F
Wind
4 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
MacKenzie Gore
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 44 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 44 | 0.274 | 90.0 | · | 12.5% | 408 | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 41 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 56 | 0.326 | 86.9 | · | 50.0% | 395 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 19.3% | 47 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.179 | 83.8 | · | 40.0% | 401 | 14.3% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.167 | 88.9 | · | 16.7% | 403 | 13.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 31 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 131 | 0.140 | 86.7 | · | 11.1% | 382 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 27 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.204 | 85.9 | · | 16.7% | 351 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.171 | 89.9 | · | 11.1% | 408 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Ketel Marte | 24 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.159 | 91.2 | · | 0.0% | 411 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 20 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.145 | 89.8 | · | 37.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 17 |
Zac Gallen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 38 | ⚪ D | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.207 | 91.5 | · | 26.9% | 394 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 32 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.156 | 89.9 | · | 24.0% | 399 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Jung | 31 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 134 | 0.228 | 90.5 | · | 20.0% | 378 | 13.9% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 30 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.170 | 91.7 | · | 16.7% | 396 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Evan Carter | 26 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.144 | 88.6 | · | 15.6% | 371 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Joc Pederson | 25 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.099 | 92.6 | · | 12.0% | 388 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Danny Jansen | 23 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 197 | 0.134 | 88.0 | · | 25.0% | 393 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 213 | 0.125 | 90.8 | · | 8.3% | 365 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 7 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.024 | 87.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 9 |