AZ
@
7:40p
MIL
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cold air · strong wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.583
Temp
51.8°F
Wind
17.3 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Chad Patrick
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 33 | 0.355 | 87.3 | 8.2% | 50.0% | 402 | 25.0% | 30.0% | 30.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.265 | 90.3 | 12.3% | 18.2% | 401 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.154 | 83.9 | 7.6% | 23.1% | 398 | 13.6% | 22.2% | 15.8% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Alek Thomas | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.187 | 90.9 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 415 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.207 | 85.6 | 7.9% | 16.7% | 351 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.158 | 89.6 | 5.9% | 37.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.128 | 87.5 | 6.5% | 14.3% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Ketel Marte | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.143 | 92.9 | 10.4% | 26.7% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.143 | 86.8 | 2.7% | 11.1% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 20 |