AZ
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.22×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.221
Temp
64.5°F
Wind
4.1 mph
out
Roof
open
Trevor Rogers
LHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ketel Marte | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.233 | 94.6 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 87 | 0.148 | 84.9 | 3.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 105 | 0.133 | 90.2 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.085 | 87.3 | 3.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 134 | 0.173 | 88.4 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 135 | 0.113 | 88.9 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 431 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Tim Tawa | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 139 | 0.146 | 87.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Alek Thomas | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 140 | 0.120 | 93.3 | 5.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 24 |