ATL
@
4:10p
MIA
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.017
Wind
0 mph
dome
Braxton Garrett
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 9 | 0.344 | 93.6 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 413 | 26.7% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 29 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.193 | 94.5 | 15.6% | 28.6% | 394 | 16.3% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 35 | |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.154 | 91.3 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 408 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Sandy León | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 92 | 0.223 | 90.5 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 6 |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 105 | 0.126 | 89.2 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 411 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 165 | 0.193 | 86.2 | 4.3% | 15.0% | 386 | 15.6% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.151 | 87.5 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 389 | 3.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 34 |
| 8 | José Azócar | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.141 | 87.8 | · | 37.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 10 | |
| 9 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 222 | 0.098 | 85.9 | · | 7.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 14 |
Martín Pérez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Esteury Ruiz | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 95 | 0.208 | 87.5 | 10.0% | 28.6% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 99 | 0.162 | 88.6 | 6.4% | 33.3% | 398 | 8.9% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Otto Lopez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 102 | 0.158 | 90.3 | 9.0% | 7.7% | 396 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 47 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.089 | 89.9 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Connor Norby | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 140 | 0.137 | 87.0 | 8.5% | 20.0% | 396 | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 27 |
| 6 | Heriberto Hernández | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 143 | 0.027 | 90.4 | 6.6% | 14.3% | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 12 | |
| 7 | Leo Jiménez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 151 | 0.030 | 90.5 | 6.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 19 | |
| 8 |
|
Joe Mack | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 196 | 0.146 | 89.5 | 4.0% | 16.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 10 |
| 9 |
|
Christopher Morel | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | · | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 19 |