ATH
@
9:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.914
Temp
62.8°F
Wind
3.4 mph
in
Roof
open
Lucas Giolito
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | 🌤️ WARM | 42 | 0.197 | 94.7 | 17.0% | 38.9% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.6% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 58 | 🟠 C | +305 | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.266 | 92.0 | 15.1% | 27.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.1% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Brent Rooker | 54 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 67 | 0.198 | 89.9 | 14.6% | 25.0% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Zack Gelof | 51 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.213 | 90.9 | 9.6% | 31.2% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.8% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 45 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.186 | 91.4 | 8.7% | 19.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 39 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 184 | 0.189 | 90.0 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 27 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 250 | 0.095 | 86.3 | 1.5% | 10.5% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 252 | 0.104 | 90.4 | 6.4% | 22.2% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 269 | 0.101 | 84.3 | 2.1% | 14.3% | 368 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 4 |
J.T. Ginn
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 64 | 0.284 | 89.2 | 8.4% | 37.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34.9% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Miguel Andújar | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.205 | 89.4 | 5.9% | 21.1% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.1% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 39 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.149 | 90.6 | 6.9% | 26.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 38 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 189 | 0.133 | 88.1 | 8.1% | 15.8% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.164 | 89.0 | 9.5% | 23.1% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 33 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 221 | 0.121 | 89.6 | 8.0% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 235 | 0.139 | 88.0 | 6.9% | 23.3% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 273 | 0.048 | 87.4 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Fernando Tatís | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 277 | 0.038 | 91.3 | 8.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 35 |