ATH
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
cool air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.431
Temp
64.8°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Luis Severino
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 6 | 0.315 | 92.8 | · | 42.9% | 404 | 22.6% | 23.1% | 34.1% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 23 | 0.240 | 88.5 | · | 18.8% | 411 | 19.4% | 23.1% | 23.3% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 85 | 0.170 | 91.1 | · | 19.1% | 398 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Trea Turner | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.119 | 90.2 | · | 14.3% | 383 | 12.9% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.059 | 88.9 | · | 9.1% | 354 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Adolis García | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.155 | 92.9 | · | 12.5% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Bryson Stott | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.050 | 90.3 | · | 0.0% | 399 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 31 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.093 | 88.9 | · | 14.3% | 401 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 10 | |
| 9 |
|
Justin Crawford | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.085 | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 32 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.257 | 92.9 | · | 36.4% | 412 | 23.3% | 18.2% | 30.5% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 35 | 0.307 | 91.5 | · | 36.4% | 396 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 27.6% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.193 | 90.3 | · | 0.0% | 400 | 10.3% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Max Muncy | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 107 | 0.163 | 92.3 | · | 36.4% | 409 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.182 | 95.8 | · | 0.0% | 404 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.092 | 86.6 | · | 8.3% | 395 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 197 | 0.092 | 90.0 | · | 16.7% | 378 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 231 | 0.100 | 84.8 | · | 0.0% | 377 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 42 |
| 9 |
|
Denzel Clarke | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 247 | 0.019 | 91.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 0 |