⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SD
@ 6:05p
AZ
Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Unknown stadium
Combined
1.000
Germán Márquez
Germán Márquez RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 75 🟡 B · · 30 0.314 87.3 8.2% 50.0% 402 20.0% 22.2% 38.3% 33
2 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 43 0.284 90.3 12.3% 18.8% 401 16.7% 16.7% 18.2% 24
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.167 83.9 7.6% 22.2% 398 15.0% 30.0% 22.1% 30
4 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 92 0.156 92.9 10.4% 25.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 21.1% 30
5 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 106 0.210 85.6 7.9% 11.1% 351 10.0% 11.1% 15.1% 19
6 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 137 0.117 89.6 5.9% 28.6% 409 0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 27
7 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 41 ⚪ D · · 148 0.125 87.4 9.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 0
8 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 165 0.164 90.9 7.5% 7.1% 415 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 19
9 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 207 0.148 86.8 2.7% 7.1% 398 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 58 🟠 C · · 71 0.220 89.6 15.4% 18.2% 396 0.0% 0.0% 18.4% 28
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 54 🟠 C · · 86 0.240 88.8 10.5% 27.3% 410 5.3% 0.0% 14.8% 25
3 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 113 0.157 88.6 12.7% 16.7% 399 15.0% 10.0% 8.8% 28
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 47 ⚪ D · · 122 0.155 90.2 7.5% 20.0% 385 15.0% 20.0% 13.3% 28
5 Manny Machado Manny Machado 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.098 87.4 4.8% 18.2% 384 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 33
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 200 0.043 93.7 13.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 28
7 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 27 ⚪ D · · 227 0.123 90.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 20
8 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 26 ⚪ D · · 234 0.064 88.8 5.1% 10.0% 399 5.0% 0.0% 6.8% 21
9 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 251 0.062 88.1 5.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 12
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