CHC
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.319
Temp
61.1°F
Wind
9.7 mph
out
Roof
open
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.178 | 92.1 | 16.8% | 0.0% | 377 | 35.7% | 27.3% | 2.5% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.173 | 91.2 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 380 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.234 | 91.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 7.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.261 | 88.1 | 6.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.168 | 90.1 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 361 | 25.0% | 30.0% | 1.7% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 27 | 0.179 | 94.9 | 13.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.198 | 89.8 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.097 | 85.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 7.1% | 9.1% | 0.3% | 43 |