⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 8 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.319
Temp
61.1°F
Wind
9.7 mph
out
Roof
open
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 8 0.178 92.1 16.8% 0.0% 377 35.7% 27.3% 2.5% 25
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.173 91.2 11.5% 0.0% 380 14.3% 18.2% 2.6% 27
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 13 0.234 91.9 6.8% 0.0% · 7.1% 9.1% 2.2% 31
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.261 88.1 6.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 31
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.168 90.1 12.2% 0.0% 361 25.0% 30.0% 1.7% 28
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 53 🟠 C · · 27 0.179 94.9 13.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 25
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.198 89.8 6.7% 0.0% 404 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 35
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 76 0.097 85.5 0.0% 0.0% · 7.1% 9.1% 0.3% 43
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