⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT LHB
Ryan O'Hearn

Ryan O'Hearn

LHB
PIT · 31 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.9%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
18.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.179
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#37
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 4 HRs in 31 games
Due (1×)
0.9×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
31
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#141.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
31 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-29 #169 Taj Bradley L/R * 10.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-28 #37 Colin Rea L/R * 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-22 #125 Kevin Gausman L/R * 17.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 #125 Michael McGreevy L/R * 15.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 #161 Cristopher Sánchez L/L * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 #146 Aaron Nola L/R * 10.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-14 #121 Chase Dollander L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-13 #148 Jose Quintana L/L * 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 💥
2026-05-12 #167 Michael Lorenzen L/R * 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #186 Tyler Mahle L/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 #221 Landen Roupp L/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 #163 Zac Gallen L/R * 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #245 Michael Soroka L/R * 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #113 Eduardo Rodriguez L/L * 12.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #201 Chase Burns L/R * 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 #208 Rhett Lowder L/R * 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 #187 Brady Singer L/R * 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 #84 Hunter Dobbins L/R * 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-29 #178 Andre Pallante L/R * 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #143 Kyle Leahy L/R * 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-27 #86 Dustin May L/R * 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #57 Kyle Harrison L/L 13.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #127 Jacob Misiorowski L/R 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-24 #116 Brandon Woodruff L/R 12.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-23 #97 Jacob deGrom L/R 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 #121 Jack Leiter L/R 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 #180 Drew Rasmussen L/R 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-17 #154 Nick Martinez L/R 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-10 #88 Shota Imanaga L/L 13.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 #87 Nolan McLean L/R 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 #135 David Peterson · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

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